People

Adam Tooze

HELD (9): capex-as-macro-event (Q2 GDP revised to 2.2% with AI 36–53% of growth; WSJ/Brookings $10.3T ≈ 3.6% GDP/yr); energy-binding (interconnection queues, $1.4T…

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Ajeya Cotra

Member of Technical Staff,

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Alex Karp

AI is the decisive technology for Western democratic security — Palantir builds the software that governments and militaries need to wield AI effectively, and pretending…

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Alex Wissner-Gross

Intelligence is a physical phenomenon — maximizing future freedom of action — and AI capability follows from compute, data, and algorithmic insight more than from any…

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Alvin Wang Graylin

Affiliation (role check run 2026-09-21): No longer at HTC. Senior Fellow for Technology, Asia Society Policy Institute — Center for China Analysis; Digital Fellow,…

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Andrej Karpathy

Score: 4 Held / 4 Drifted / 1 Wrong / 1 rewritten as unfalsifiable. WRONG (ours): Revealed behavior carried "nanochat largely hand-written; coding agents fell short for…

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Andrew Ng

AI is a general-purpose technology like electricity; the money and impact are in applications, not frontier models; the two things that could wreck that future are hype…

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Anousheh Ansari

Breakthroughs are not waited for, they are incentivized — design a prize precisely enough and you can summon capability that no grant, procurement or roadmap would have…

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Anton Korinek

If AI becomes truly transformative, the economic consequences — for growth, wages, labor share (the slice of national income paid out as wages) and inequality — are far…

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Anu Bradford

The EU's rules travel the world because its market is large and companies would rather run one standard than two — the "Brussels Effect" — so EU digital law becomes the…

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Astro Teller

Radical innovation is not a talent problem but a process problem — build an institution that makes killing your own best ideas cheap, fast and socially rewarded, and…

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Aza Raskin

AI's first harm is not rogue superintelligence but the misaligned incentives of the firms building it — race dynamics that deploy persuasive, reality-eroding systems…

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Ben Lamm

Extinction is an engineering problem, and the tools built to reverse it are worth more than the reversals — de-extinction is the flagship that funds and markets a…

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Benedict Evans

AI is a platform shift as big as the web and mobile — "and only as big" — so the questions that matter are the product, the buyer, the distribution and who keeps the…

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Carl Benedikt Frey

History shows technological revolutions are usually labor-replacing before they are labor-augmenting, and the transition — measured in generations — is politically…

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Cathie Wood

Public markets systematically underprice exponential technologies because benchmark-hugging institutions are structurally unable to hold them — so concentrate in…

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Chris Olah

We are deploying systems we do not understand; mechanistic interpretability — reverse-engineering the internal computations of neural networks — is the load-bearing path…

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Cory Doctorow

AI is a bubble run as a "pump-and-dump swindle" by monopolists, and its real product is not a robot that does your job but a

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Daniel Kokotajlo

Executive Director,

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Daniela Amodei

A safety-focused frontier lab can only function if its operations, hiring, policy, and trust-building scale as fast as its research — the institutional layer is the…

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Dario Amodei

Powerful AI is coming fast, will be profoundly positive if we get safety right, and the best path is for safety-focused labs to lead at the frontier.

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Daron Acemoglu

Tech doesn't automatically benefit workers — institutions, market power, and design choices determine who wins, and current AI is mostly skewing the wrong way.

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Dave Blundin

Scaling laws are the dominant force in AI; agents are the deployment unlock; most enterprises are dramatically underestimating the speed and scope of disruption.

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David Autor

AI is the first technology in roughly forty years with a realistic shot at narrowing wage inequality — by codifying expert judgment (turning know-how into something a…

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David Chalmers

We cannot yet determine whether LLMs are conscious, but the question is serious and tractable. Current models "are most likely not conscious, though I don't rule out the…

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David Shapiro

AI substitution across all four dimensions of human economic value (strength, dexterity, cognition, empathy) breaks the social contract — and only a full stack of…

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Demis Hassabis

AI is the tool that will accelerate scientific discovery beyond anything previously possible — and "solving intelligence" is a tractable scientific problem we should…

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Diane Francis

Great-power politics frames everything — Putin's war, Trump's tariffs, and AI as the next nuclear weapon:

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Ed Zitron

CEO, EZPR (media-relations firm, founded 2013) — role check run 2026-09-21: unchanged per his About page . Writes Where's Your Ed At (2020–; About page now claims

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Eliezer Yudkowsky

Building superintelligent AI without solving alignment first defaults to human extinction; the rational policy is a hard global moratorium.

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Elon Musk

CEO,

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Emad Mostaque

AI is a civilizational-scale force; open, decentralized, sovereign AI is the only safe path — closed, centralized AI in a few labs is the actual existential risk. New…

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Eric Schmidt

Affiliation (hat count run 2026-09-21 — eleven hats, up from five in v1): Chair & CEO, Relativity Space (since 2025-03-10; took a controlling stake in the…

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Erik Brynjolfsson

AI is augmentation tech if we choose to use it that way — but the J-curve means productivity gains lag capability by years.

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Ethan Mollick

Ralph J. Roberts Distinguished Faculty Scholar, Rowan Fellow and

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Ezra Klein

Opinion columnist, The New York Times (joined 2020-11) and host of The Ezra Klein Show (Podtrac #17 US podcast by unique monthly audience, July 2026) — role check run…

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Fei-Fei Li

AI must be built around human needs, not just technical benchmarks — and the people building it must include voices beyond Silicon Valley's default demographic if the…

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Gary Marcus

Professor Emeritus of Psychology & Neural Science, New York University — role check run 2026-09-21: unchanged (his own Substack profile bio reads "Scientist, author and…

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Geoffrey Hinton

I co-built deep learning, I now think there's a real chance it ends badly, and I left Google so I could say so — the right move is much more safety investment, fast. New…

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Helen Toner

Frontier AI labs cannot be trusted to self-regulate; "trust me" is not a governance strategy; the institutional design problem is at least as load-bearing as the…

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Ilya Sutskever

Superintelligence is coming and the only responsible move is to build exclusively the safe variant with no commercial product pressure — but the path is no longer raw…

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Jack Clark

AI capability is accelerating faster than most observers internalize — he now puts a year on it: recursive self-improvement (AI that designs and builds its own successor…

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Jan Leike

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Jared Kaplan

AI progress follows smooth, physics-like power laws in compute, data, and parameters — making capability growth forecastable, timelines short, and safety work urgent…

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Jaron Lanier

The people whose data trains AI should be paid for it — "data dignity" is the structural fix for an economy where tech companies extract value from human creativity and…

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Jasmine Sun

The v1 line — AI debates miss the social, generational and political contexts the technology lands in; the meaningful story is cultural, not just technical, and Silicon…

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Jensen Huang

We are in the early innings of an AI industrial revolution; the world needs to build "AI factories" at massive scale, and NVIDIA is the company that makes the machines…

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Jeremy Rifkin

Capitalism is being eclipsed by a collaborative commons as technology drives marginal costs toward zero, and the real question isn't whether work ends but what replaces…

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Jim Rutt

(born 1953-12-11, Washington, D.C.; obituary, Obaugh Funeral Home; SFI In Memoriam, 2026-07-06). The MIT Free Speech Alliance tribute (2026-09-05) says he shared news of…

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John Jumper

AI can solve fundamental scientific problems that resisted decades of traditional research — AlphaFold proved it for protein structure, and the approach generalizes. His…

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Jonathan Haidt

Thomas Cooley Professor of Ethical Leadership, NYU Stern School of Business (2012-06–present; the NYU bio styles it "Thomas Cooley Chair in Ethical Leadership, Professor…

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Jordan Hall

Independent writer and civilizational theorist — no employer, funded org, or company launch found in a dated search this cycle. Publishes as deepcode on Substack (page…

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Kai-Fu Lee

Chairman & CEO,

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Kate Crawford

AI is not artificial and is only weakly "intelligent" — it is an extractive industrial system built on labor, data, minerals, water, and energy, and treating it as…

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Katja Grace

Co-founder and

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Leopold Aschenbrenner

unchanged in words — AGI plausibly by 2027, an intelligence explosion within ~2 years, and the only safe path is a US-government-led national project that out-builds and…

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Lina Khan

AI is being built on top of markets that were already monopolized, by the same firms, through partnerships and investments that deliver control without a merger review —…

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Logan Kilpatrick

The model race is decided at the developer layer — whoever makes building with AI cheapest, fastest and least frustrating captures the ecosystem, regardless of who holds…

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Marc Andreessen

AI is a civilizational accelerant; deceleration — not deployment — is the moral failure. New since v1: "the biggest technological revolution of my life, bigger than the…

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Mariana Mazzucato

The state funded the foundational research behind AI (and the internet, GPS, touchscreens) — if the public bore the risk, it should share the reward, and AI governance…

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Mark Pincus

That version's headline claim was "do not found a company around AI." Three months before it was written he had co-founded an AI-native game studio, and seven weeks…

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Mark Zuckerberg

Founder, Chairman & CEO, Meta Platforms — role check run 2026-09-21: unchanged (the Q2 2026 release carries his CEO quote, 8-K, 2026-07-29 ; AP quotes him as Meta CEO on…

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Mary Meeker

Technology adoption follows measurable S-curves, and AI is now the steepest one — the macro data says this platform shift will restructure enterprise productivity, labor…

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Max Tegmark

Professor of Physics, MIT ( MIT Physics faculty page : "the main focus of his current research is on the physics of intelligence"; FLI's bio adds the Institute for AI &…

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Melanie Mitchell

Current LLMs are impressively capable but do not understand in the way humans do — they lack robust conceptual abstraction and analogical reasoning, and confusing…

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Mira Lane

"Narratives about technology in films are overwhelmingly characterized by a dystopian perspective" (LA Times, 2025-05-28) — so the work is to put creators inside the…

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Mustafa Suleyman

AI is one strand of a "coming wave" of dual-use technologies that will be uncontainable by default — containment, not pause and not unrestrained acceleration, is the…

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Nate Herk

"AI automation made easy" — a person who cannot code can turn AI workflows into income by climbing a ladder (freelance modules → AI consulting → agency → teaching), and…

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Neal Stephenson

The stories a civilization tells about its future constrain the futures it is able to build — so the shortage of credible optimistic fiction is a practical engineering…

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Neil deGrasse Tyson

Scientific literacy is civic infrastructure — a population that cannot reason about evidence cannot govern itself through a technological transition, and making science…

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Nick Bostrom

Superintelligence is the central transition humanity faces and the default is dangerous — but, as of 2026, so is the baseline: "Developing superintelligence is not like…

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Nikhyl Singhal

AI doesn't kill the PM role — it raises the bar hard and fast. His 2026 framing: "the next two years will be the most chaotic period in product management history,"…

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Nita Farahany

Robinson O. Everett Distinguished Professor of Law & Philosophy, Duke Law School; Founding Director, Duke Science & Society; Faculty Chair, Duke MA in Bioethics &…

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Noam Brown

Inference-time search and reasoning (letting the model think longer at answer time) is a scaling dimension comparable to pretraining; modest test-time compute delivers…

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Palmer Luckey

Western defense procurement is a broken system that pays for cost overruns rather than working products — so build the products at commercial speed, on fixed-price…

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Paul Christiano

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Peter Diamandis

Converging exponentials (AI + biotech + robotics + energy + materials) are driving us toward a world of abundance faster than linear thinkers can absorb — now sharpened…

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Peter Thiel

We live in technological stagnation disguised by digital progress — AI's promise is real, but only if pursued as definite optimism; monopoly is the engine, competition…

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Pope Leo XIV

AI is this century's Rerum Novarum moment, and the first encyclical of his papacy — Magnifica Humanitas , signed 2026-05-15 (the 135th anniversary of Rerum Novarum ),…

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Ramez Naam

exponential cost curves in clean energy get underpriced by everyone including him, and the AI power crunch is a flexibility problem, not a generation shortage —

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Richard Dawkins

Emeritus Fellow, New College, Oxford (the college's own page still lists him so — checked 2026-09-21); inaugural Charles Simonyi Professor of the Public Understanding of…

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Rod Roddenberry

The most valuable thing his father made was not a franchise but a usable picture of a good future — "a profoundly human belief that we are capable of becoming something…

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Sabrina Romanoff

Clinical Program Student Handbook, updated 08/2021, p. 9: "Clinical Program Adjunct Faculty … Sabrina Romanoff, PsyD" ( PDF ). Academic Catalog 2022–23 and 2023–24 (p.…

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Sal Khan

AI can be the great equalizer in education — giving every student a personal tutor and every teacher an assistant — but only if we build it deliberately for learning,…

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Salim Ismail

Linear organizations get killed by exponential ones — and as of 2026 he has renamed and sharpened the thesis: AI is dissolving the coordination costs that justified…

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Sam Altman

Superintelligence is coming this decade, abundance is the destination, and we need new economic structures to share the gains. New since v1: the ship-and-learn CEO now…

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Sam McCandlish

Co-Founder &

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Satya Nadella

Affiliation (role check run 2026-10-03): Chairman & CEO, Microsoft — Held , confirmed in the FY2026 10-K (filed late July 2026). The job narrowed on 2025-10-01 : Judson…

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Shoshana Zuboff

AI is the operational core of a new economic logic — "surveillance capitalism" — that extracts behavioral data as raw material, manufactures prediction products, and…

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Stuart Russell

AI risk is real but tractable through architectural redesign — build systems that are uncertain about their objective and learn human preferences rather than optimize a…

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Sundar Pichai

AI is the most profound technology humanity is working on; Alphabet is the one company that owns research, chips, cloud and billion-user products in a single stack, and…

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Timnit Gebru

The most pressing AI harms are present, structural, and concentrated on marginalized people — not speculative future superintelligence — and the discourse that elevates…

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Toby Ord

Humanity faces about a one-in-six chance of existential catastrophe this century, most of it from AI — "When I wrote the book, I thought it was about one in six … Yeah,…

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Tom Brown

Scaling works and is predictable; the frontier is an engineering problem; compute — and now the power and permits behind it — is "very clearly the bottleneck for all of…

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Tristan Harris

Affiliation (role check run 2026-10-03): Co-Founder & President , Center for Humane Technology (CHT) — v1 said "Executive Director"; the ED is Julie Guirado , and Harris…

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Tyler Cowen

AI is real and big — capability may already be "AGI on most things humans care about" — but diffusion is slow, gains are uneven, and institutions are the bottleneck.

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Vitalik Buterin

AI x-risk is real, but a moratorium is both infeasible and dangerous; the right path is

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Yanis Varoufakis

Capitalism is already dead — replaced by techno-feudalism, in which "cloud capital" extracts rent from users, workers, and traditional capitalists alike — and AI is the…

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Yann LeCun

Current LLMs are an off-ramp from human-level AI — "basically a dead end" — the path is non-autoregressive world-model architectures (JEPA), and x-risk concerns are…

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Yoshua Bengio

AI risks (misuse, loss of control) are real and growing; safety is technically tractable but politically lagging — we need governance now and a "Scientist AI" research…

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Yuval Noah Harari

Affiliation (role check run 2026-09-21): Historian and author of Sapiens (2014 in English), Homo Deus (2016), 21 Lessons for the 21st Century (2018) and Nexus: A Brief…

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